Experts of the RB website, guided by the most popular sports betting scoring systems, have compiled a rating of the most difficult disciplines for betting.
What is the most difficult sport to predict, determined by scientists from the United States, namely from the Los Alamos National Laboratory, New Mexico and the Department of Physics at Boston University. According to their study, the most competitive sports were football and baseball.
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English football and baseball are leaders in competitive sports
In the process of conducting the study, scientists used a unique base with the results of games for the XNUMXth century from the national football league, the national hockey league, basketball, baseball and English football. Bookmakers' scores were taken into account: when the victory went to the favorite, and when to the underdog. The sport in which the outsider took the championship was recognized as the most competitive.
These were English football and Major League Baseball. However, not everything is so clear. According to experts, over the past 10 years, baseball has significantly outpaced the English Premier League and has become the most difficult sport to bet on.
"Follow the money!"
A well-known phrase conveys the essence of another system for evaluating a particular sport and betting on it. Bookmakers have a special approach to those competitions that account for the most bets. The coefficients are painted to the smallest detail, and the error factor is minimal. The bookmaker will always be in the black by balancing the margin of bets on the match, and the bet of an ordinary player will either play or not.
After analyzing the example of 2021, it was found that football is the leader in the number of bets made. Discipline accounts for 23% of the total number of bets. Basketball, baseball and horse racing account for 10% each. Cricket closes the top five.
What sport is the most difficult?
Understanding the question of what is the most difficult sport to bet on, you can refer to Michael J. Mauboussin's book "The Equation of Success: Deciphering Skills and Luck in Business, Sports and Investing". This work digitizes sports results along with luck. Mauboussin analyzes in which sport luck plays a greater or lesser role.
The last five seasons in the most popular leagues were analyzed in detail. The NHL, NFL, MLB and EPL were recognized as the most dependent on luck.
The most predictable association was the NBA. At the same time, hockey and the NFL got into two TOPs, as the most popular and unpredictable.
So, the sport in which the most bets are made is the most difficult and depends in most cases on luck. Of course, not everything is so clear cut. Different systems for calculating the difficulty of sports betting can give different results. With the help of numbers and statistics, it is easy to line up the lines for the match, however, it should be borne in mind that betting is also a combination of sequences and factors, a symbiosis of algorithms and simple player luck.